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7/13/2020 COVID continues

Now that the various protests and riots have died down in most places, the news has gone back to talking about how COVID-19 is going to kill everyone, especially since there's been an increase in cases in a number of states. Of course, as I discussed in my lengthy series of COVID-19 posts, the mainstream media has a tendency to twist the facts and only tell you certain things in order to push their own agenda and make the virus sound a lot worse than it really is. When you actually study it out, the vast majority of the increase can be attributed to increased testing. As for the claimed increase in hospitalizations, it's not exactly true. According to the doctors themselves, now that fears have gone down a bit and elective medical procedures are being allowed again, a lot more people are going to hospitals for non COVID related reasons. But, these days, most hospitals are testing all patients for COVID, regardless of what they're actually at the hospital for. So they're finding a lot more asymptomatic people (people who have COVID-19 but have either very mild or no symptoms). Of course, researchers have been saying for months that there's a massive number people out there with COVID-19 who never even notice, so that shouldn't be any big surprise. We're just testing more of them now. So basically, yes there are more people in hospitals who have COVID-19, but it's not the reason they're in the hospital. The media is also mostly ignoring the fact that, in most of the US, and the world in general, COVID-19 related deaths are way down. So this "surge" really isn't anything to worry too much about.
The other thing they tend to avoid mentioning is the most recent data in regards to overall death rates for the virus. As I previously explained, the current best estimates for the actual death rate of the virus (the odds of someone dying if they contract COVID-19) are somewhere between 0.4% - 0.2% (for comparison, the normal seasonal flu is 0.1%). But even that isn't the whole story. Apparently, for people below somewhere around 60 or 65 years of age, the death rate is around .01% or less. Of course, that would go up quite a bit if you have certain series medical conditions (lung or immune issues especially), but if you're young, or mid-age for that matter, and healthy, you're far more likely to die in a car accident, or even from cancer, than from COVID-19. If you're elderly, that death rate raises too...somewhere around 0.8%. A huge increase, but still not an especially high number. Though the elderly are much more likely to have other health conditions that make them more vulnerable to COVID-19 (and every other illness), so certainly elderly people have a much, much higher risk of death. But for elderly people as a whole, the estimated death rate is still under 1%. Not so scary when you actually know the data, is it?

Later!

Josiah



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7/10/2020 Stuck

Some stuff has come up that's likely going to prevent me from doing any long trips until at least October. Nothing to do with COVID-19 and travel restrictions. I just need to be at home for some appointments that are going to be scattered over the next two or three months. Unfortunately, that means no big trips this summer, even if travel restrictions are lifted. That said, we can still fit in short trips so Pennsylvania and more Ocean City are still in the cards. Unfortunately, a lot of attractions around here are probably going to remain closed for the foreseeable future. Or, if not that, have so many restrictions that they're not really worth visiting. Nothing to do except make the most of it I guess (and hopefully vote in some officials who won't colossally overreact next time there's some new illness going around).

Have a good weekend!

Josiah

7/8/2020 Juggling act

Family, household, work, writing, research, some other things... There's a lot going on right now, especially considering that it's summer and that we're not doing any big trips. Time management and all that, I guess.

Anyway, it's late and sleep is something I haven't been getting enough of lately so I'll stop here for today.

Later!

Josiah


Pokémon and all related images and trademarks are copyrighted by Nintendo, one of my favorite games companies who would certainly never waste their time by trying to sue me. Especially since I'm protected under the Fair Use Rule of the United States Copyright Act of 1976. Aside from that the actual site content is copyrighted by me, Josiah Lebowitz 2003.